Since 2016, electric vehicle sales in the United States have increased by more than 40% every year. The main car markets will be entirely electrified by 2035, offering a glimpse of a green future as well as enormous economic opportunities.
Is there a future for electric cars?
India has the greatest untapped EV market in the world, particularly in the two-wheeler segment. The penetration of electric vehicles has expanded dramatically in recent years, thanks to numerous automakers’ quick rollout of these vehicles. According to a recent estimate, the market for electric cars (EVs) is predicted to be valued at least $475 billion by 2025. Electric two-wheelers are expected to attain 15% penetration by 2025, up from 1% today.
The auto sector is poised to enter a new period of expansion, innovation, and investment as business activities pick up and the Indian economy recovers in 2022. However, several obstacles stand in the way of EV’s future. While the Indian government is supporting EV adoption actively, insufficient infrastructure, a dearth of high-performance EVs, and a high upfront cost are preventing widespread adoption.
With 63 percent of consumers assuming that an EV is out of their budget, capital cost has always been a big factor in EV purchasing decisions. Our country’s lack of suitable charging infrastructure is a major impediment to increased EV adoption. Charging stations are more difficult to come by than traditional gas stations, due to high investment costs and difficult infrastructure development. This allows people to charge where they normally park, at home or at work, which presents its own set of challenges, such as dealing with multi-tenant buildings, grid-connection management, and charging slot availability. There is expected to be a nickel scarcity, and scaling up lithium production would be difficult, resulting in a supply deficit that could force manufacturers to employ lower-quality material inputs, lowering battery performance.
Due to a scarcity of coal inventories available to thermal plants, India experienced a power supply constraint of 1,201 million units in October 2021, the most in 5.5 years. Our country must address the fundamental issue of power constraint in order to make a dramatic changeover to electric automobiles. Lack of consistent power supply in villages and smaller towns, as well as huge outages in metros like Delhi and NCR for hours at a time. Summer is anticipated to have a huge impact on EV adoption; the majority of EV users will be two and three wheelers, and these consumers do not have access to electricity 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
The EV revolution is currently focused on metros, where the consumer has range anxiety due to daily travel of 100km, whereas the actual consumer is in tiers II and III, where the travel radius is 15-20km; here, a consumer can ride 150-180km after electrification without worrying about recharging or finding a swapping station.
There are a number of possible market barriers that hinder the EV industry’s capacity to meet expanding demand, including an inadequate charging infrastructure that continues to stymie higher penetration in the two-wheeler consumer segment. In the future years, the lack of a viable manufacturing environment for the materials involved with the EV revolution, combined with the concentration of the supply chain in select places, is expected to bring these challenges even more into light.
Because India is significantly reliant on China for lithium supply chains, the government has developed a series of policies in accordance with the ‘Make in India’ program to incentivize firms to create components locally and build a structured policy framework. Recent policies, such as the battery swapping policy, aimed at encouraging a shift toward green energy generation and decentralization of energy distribution, are likely to result in a well-established EV infrastructure across the country, as well as customer confidence in driving electric vehicles on Indian roads. The battery swapping model for supplying power has avoided the lack of charging infrastructure, but a mix of both models is probable in the future.
However, India lacks the infrastructure and technology to produce semiconductors or Lithium-Ion Batteries; it will be a difficult road ahead until we have the fundamental infrastructure in place, with rising dollar pricing and an uncertain import situation due to escalating tensions.
The EV market is currently fragmented, with numerous individual dealerships, making it difficult to establish a proper infrastructure for second-hand sales. Furthermore, car warranties, quality, and strength vary greatly. Vehicles frequently lose their shape as a result of hard use or battery degradation. There is currently very little formal infrastructure for the sale of old autos. Shortages of global semiconductors exacerbate supply chain challenges and encourage commodity localization for automobile OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturer).
Large OEMs, on the other hand, are taking steps to enter the EV component market in order to reduce reliance on imports and meet the government’s 50 percent localization requirement for government subsidies.
A comprehensive infrastructure that is inexpensive, accessible, and supports all consumer groups, along with a solid financing ecosystem, governmental incentives, and technology breakthroughs, is anticipated to position the electric vehicle market for major expansion over the next decade.
How far will electric vehicles be able to go in the future?
Electric cars have a lot of potential in terms of how far they can go in the future, and as technology advances, we may see ranges way above 600 miles. It’s impossible to predict how far away we are from an electric automobile that can travel 800 or 1,000 miles, or even if we will ever get there, but the possibilities are limitless right now.
When will electric cars become the norm?
According to industry analyst IHS Markit, nearly 45 percent of new automobile sales might be electrified by 2035. By 2050, roughly half of all vehicles on the road will be electric.
Will electric vehicles someday supplant gasoline-powered vehicles?
Electric vehicles will eventually replace gasoline-powered automobiles, but this will not happen immediately. There are still a lot of things to think about. The coming years will be fascinating. EVs aren’t out of the woods yet, but they’re on their way to becoming popular.
Currently, the cost of an electric vehicle is comparable to that of a regular gas-powered vehicle, and cheaper maintenance costs offset some of the higher initial purchase costs. However, as battery technology improves, it’s reasonable to expect that the cost of electric vehicles will fall as they become more generally accepted.
By 2035, will all automobiles be electric?
DETROIT/WASHINGTON, Dec 8 (Reuters) – According to an executive order signed by President Joe Biden on Wednesday, the US government aims to stop buying gas-powered automobiles by 2035 in order to reduce pollution and promote electric vehicles. The federal government has about 650,000 automobiles and buys about 50,000 each year.
Why should you not purchase an electric vehicle?
Every year, the number of electric vehicles sold increases. Electric car sales in the United States increased by 81 percent in 2018, according to Green Tech Media, and are predicted to account for the majority of vehicles on the road by 2029. The main reason people choose electric vehicles is for the environmental and economic benefits, which include significant fuel and maintenance savings. EVs are still unpopular among drivers, despite increased production and the fact that 3/4 of Americans believe they are the automobile of the future. Let’s take a closer look at why this is.
The worry of the battery running out of charge before reaching their destination is one of the most prominent reasons drivers avoid EVs “Range anxiety, apprehension about a scarcity of charging stations, long charging times, and higher initial vehicle prices are all factors to consider.
While 58 percent of Americans still worry about running out of gas and 49 percent worry about not being able to find a charging station, there are resources available that provide drivers with answers to these worries, which are changing some drivers’ minds. The New York Periods reports that “Range Anxiety Gives Way to ‘Charging Time Trauma’ for Electric Car Owners, Americans are growing more concerned with extended charge times than with the inability to find a charger. EV advocates are attempting to educate drivers and alleviate their concerns by clarifying that EV refuelling is typically done when the motorist is doing something else, such as plugging in overnight, stopping to shop, or eating a meal.
When it comes to electric vehicles, how long do they last?
EV batteries go through a ‘discharge’ cycle when driving and a ‘charge’ cycle when the car is plugged in. The quantity of charge the battery can hold is affected by repeating this process over time. This reduces the range and time required to charge between trips. The majority of battery manufacturers offer a five- to eight-year warranty. An electric car battery, on the other hand, is expected to last 1020 years before needing to be changed.
The relationship between a battery and the electric motor in a car is surprisingly straightforward.
One or more electric motors drive the wheels, and the battery is connected to them. When you push the accelerator, the car immediately sends electricity to the motor, which gradually depletes the battery’s energy.
When you take your foot off the accelerator, the car begins to slow down by turning its forward motion back into electricity. This happens more forcefully if you use the brakes. Regenerative braking recovers energy that would otherwise be lost, recharging the battery and extending the range of the vehicle.
Will we be compelled to purchase electric vehicles?
THE FACTS: There is no federal mandate to convert to electric vehicles by 2035. In August, Biden signed an order setting a nonbinding goal of 50% electric vehicle sales in the United States by 2030.
Will gas-powered vehicles be phased out?
Electric and hybrid automobiles are becoming more popular, and their sales and manufacturing are expanding. In the next 10 to 15 years, gas cars may become obsolete. This prediction is backed up by global government efforts to limit and eliminate gasoline-powered vehicles by 2030. This does not, however, imply that the gas-fuel automobile sector will be completely destroyed. Rather, it will change and shrink.
What This Means for Businesses
Many industries and professions will be impacted by the eventual phase-out and obsolescence of gas automobiles. The vehicle industry is today dominated by the fuel-based car industry, which is worth billions of dollars. The rapid rise of electric car manufacture, on the other hand, is expected to reduce the industry’s revenue.
Change in Supply Chain and Production Resources
The biggest threat to gas automobiles is that electric vehicles are now being produced and sold by companies that used to make gas cars. These companies now need to purchase lithium batteries, hydrogen cell tanks, and other electric car parts, which could have an impact on their supply chain and resource procurement. Businesses will have to adjust and find new sources for these basic commodities.
Improved Environmental Credentials and Potential Cost Reduction
Businesses will be able to keep up with global environmental measures if they switch to electric and more sustainable transportation technologies instead of fuel-based vehicles. Businesses may be eligible for tax incentives based on the country’s sustainability standards, which might help them not only cut costs but also promote their new vehicles to the general public.